Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$515K
Liquidity
$142K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $515K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813182
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO: 0%, Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - M: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~100%.
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - Dracu
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
76% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -75.5pp
76% → 0%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this