ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
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Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$632K

Liquidity

$768K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $632K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1896685

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3: 100%, Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - P: 0%.

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bu

100%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+24.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

76% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +16.0pp

84% → 100%

Apr 7, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this