Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Market Price

46%YES

54%NO

Vol 24h$369K

Liquidity$251K

Bid / Ask45% / 46%

Spread1.00pp

ClosedApr 30, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

Market resolved

Price swing

48pp

High–low range

Volume traded

$369K

24h total

Liquidity

$251K

Market depth

Probability During Game · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-48.4pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets. Combined YES = 176% — 76pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals

80%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winn

51%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3)

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAS

46%

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $369K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2119146