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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES
4%NO

Volume 24h

$738K

Liquidity

$105K

Bid / Ask

99% / 99%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $738K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919687

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) : 100%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL: 97%, Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+29.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

71% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +19.4pp

81% → 100%

Apr 9, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 97%99%
Buy YES@ 97¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly14.3%
½ Kelly7.1%
Buy NO@ 4¢

-14.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 14.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this