Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Closes April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$57K
Bid / Ask
21% / 24%
Spread
2.90pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919665
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL: 71%, Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3: 48%, Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Buc: 43%.
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pla
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
70%
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +29.5pp
40% → 70%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
70% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
55% YES (-15.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this