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Markets/Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$2.0M

Liquidity

$74K

Bid / Ask

98% / 99%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: -25.0pp

78% → 53%

Mar 28, 2026

Peak probability

78% YES — highest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Current

53% YES (-25.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.7%
½ Kelly3.3%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1747201