Markets/Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES

38%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

61% / 63%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

62% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

62% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 62%99%

Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697007

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