ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5
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Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5

Closed April 8, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$4

Bid / Ask

7% / 62%

Spread

55.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 55.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1902206

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5: 53%, Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5: 53%, Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

61% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Trough probability

38% YES — lowest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

38%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: -23.0pp

61% → 38%

Apr 7, 2026

Peak probability

75% YES — highest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Current

53% YES (-4.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 48¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this