Markets/Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5

Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 08:43 PM UTC

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES

59%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

36% / 46%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+24.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: +16.0pp

22% → 38%

Mar 26, 2026

Peak probability

43% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

43% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 41%99%

Buy YES@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1725478

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