Markets/DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5

DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 08:38 PM UTC

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES

62%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

35% / 42%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

38% YES (-5.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 39%99%

Buy YES@ 39¢

Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697595

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