Markets/DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5

DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 08:36 PM UTC

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

71%YES

29%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

69% / 83%

Spread

14.00pp

Expert Signal

71%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+45.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

58%

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: +25.5pp

58% → 84%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

84% YES (+25.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 71%99%

Buy YES@ 71¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 29¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 14.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697579

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