ForecastMind
Markets/DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5
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DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

50% / 52%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1816668

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5: 51%, DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5: 40%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~10%.

DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5

51%
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5
40%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

74% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Trough probability

57% YES — lowest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +15.5pp

57% → 73%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

73% YES (+15.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this