Markets/Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5

Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:03 PM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES

68%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

10% / 55%

Spread

45.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5

Full event →

Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5

52%

Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5

34%

Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5

28%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-19.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -14.0pp

48% → 34%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

33% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 33%99%

Buy YES@ 33¢

Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 68¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 45.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786744

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.