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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5
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Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$5

Bid / Ask

40% / 51%

Spread

11.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5

Full event →
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5
52%
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5
51%
Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5
49%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

51% YES (+5.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786757

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.