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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5

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Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES

49%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$14

Bid / Ask

4% / 98%

Spread

94.30pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-28.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

79% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -18.6pp

79% → 61%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

51% YES (-9.9pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 51%99%

Buy YES@ 51¢

Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 49¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 94.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688962

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