ForecastMind
Markets/Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
Share on X

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$641K

Liquidity

$883K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $641K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844645

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5): 100%, Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5: 100%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: D: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Trough probability

32% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

32%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -25.0pp

56% → 32%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

50% YES (+18.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this