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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5
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Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

32%YES
68%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$245

Bid / Ask

1% / 75%

Spread

74.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 74.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798752

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5: 99%, Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5: 32%.

Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5
99%

Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5

32%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-19.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

40%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

56% → 40%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

40% YES (-16.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 68¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this