Markets/Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Market Price

45%YES

55%NO

Vol 24h$569K

Liquidity$91K

Bid / Ask45% / 46%

Spread1.00pp

ClosesApr 24, 2026

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets. Combined YES = 210% — 110pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - P

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wall

100%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wall

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia P

66%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - P

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wall

45%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-0.5pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $569K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-24). "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2062173