ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$35K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

50% / 50%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

50% YES (-0.2pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696571