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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Draper vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Share on X

Draper vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$0

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Draper vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Draper vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1564498