Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Ducks vs. Canucks
Closed March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$627K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
62% / 64%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
61%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Ducks vs. Canucks
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
62% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
46%
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -16.0pp
62% → 46%
Mar 25, 2026
Current
46% YES (-16.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Canucks" at 61% YES / 39% NO. In the last 24 hours, $627K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Ducks vs. Canucks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 61%, NO 39%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436101
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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