ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
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Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

63%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$410K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

51% / 63%

Spread

12.00pp

Expert Signal

63%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Ducks vs. Canucks

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-14.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

40%

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

56% → 40%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

40% YES (-16.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 63%99%
Buy YES@ 63¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 37¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $410K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436104