Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
2% / 23%
Spread
20.90pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Ducks vs. Oilers
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
60% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
39%
Mar 28, 2026
Biggest move: -32.0pp
39% → 7%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
7% YES (-32.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+14.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 20.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476575
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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