ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
Share on X

Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$73K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1508068

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5: 100%, Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5: 100%, Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+48.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Trough probability

45% YES — lowest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

45%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: +35.0pp

65% → 100%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

100% YES (+55.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this