ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
Share on X

Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Closed April 15, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$26K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 15, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1640259

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5: 100%, Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5: 5%, Ducks vs. Wild: 2%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-19.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

66% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Apr 15, 2026

Biggest move: -22.5pp

69% → 47%

Apr 15, 2026

Current

47% YES (-22.5pp recent)

Apr 15, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this