ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5
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Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$8K

Expert Signal

5%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-28.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: -33.1pp

34% → 0%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

5% YES (-7.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 95¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1753094