Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Ethereum Up or Down on April 5?
Closed April 5, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.2% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$232K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Ethereum Up or Down on April 5?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $232K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Ethereum Up or Down on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846038
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: -37.5pp
38% → 0%
Apr 5, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 5, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this