ForecastMind
Markets/Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5
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Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

61%YES
40%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

55% / 66%

Spread

11.00pp

Expert Signal

61%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5" at 61% YES / 39% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 61%, NO 39%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885793

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 83%, Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5: 61%, Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5: 40%.

Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 2.5
83%

Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5

61%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5
40%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5
31%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

67%

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: +17.5pp

49% → 67%

Apr 6, 2026

Peak probability

67% YES — highest in period

Apr 6, 2026

Current

53% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 61%99%
Buy YES@ 61¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 40¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this