ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/First Blood in Game 3?
Share on X

First Blood in Game 3?

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$29K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

99%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

100% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 20, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "First Blood in Game 3?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 99%. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "First Blood in Game 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1653677