First Blood in Game 4?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$11K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
First Blood in Game 2?
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
100% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.4pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "First Blood in Game 4?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "First Blood in Game 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674424
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.