ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Flames vs. Golden Knights
Share on X

Flames vs. Golden Knights

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$597K

Liquidity

$43K

Bid / Ask

38% / 39%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flames vs. Golden Knights" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $597K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Flames vs. Golden Knights." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515686

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5: 100%, Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5: 100%, Flames vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket39%anchor
kalshi_sports

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+20.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +18.5pp

34% → 52%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

52% YES (+18.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this