ForecastMind
Markets/Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
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Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$150K

Liquidity

$40K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $150K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798289

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5): 100%, Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5): 0%, Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5): 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+50.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Trough probability

40% YES — lowest in period

Apr 5, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Apr 5, 2026

Biggest move: +59.0pp

41% → 100%

Apr 5, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 5, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this