ForecastMind
Markets/Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
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Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
82%NO

Volume 24h

$80K

Liquidity

$25K

Bid / Ask

10% / 30%

Spread

20.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-28.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -14.5pp

35% → 21%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

21% YES (-14.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 82¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $80K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 20.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776907