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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5
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Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$65

Bid / Ask

0% / 95%

Spread

94.50pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 94.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841207

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+34.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +38.8pp

0% → 39%

Apr 4, 2026

Peak probability

39% YES — highest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Current

35% YES (-4.3pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this