ForecastMind
Markets/Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
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Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

13%YES
87%NO

Volume 24h

$2

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

12% / 14%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

13%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/906596

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

13% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

13% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 13%99%
Buy YES@ 13¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 87¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this