ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Golden Knights vs. Jets
Share on X

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

19%YES
81%NO

Volume 24h

$728K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

5% / 7%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

19%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-45.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

37%

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -27.5pp

37% → 9%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

9% YES (-27.5pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 19%99%
Buy YES@ 19¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 81¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Golden Knights vs. Jets" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $728K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Golden Knights vs. Jets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436071