ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
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Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$21K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

31% / 37%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

38% YES — lowest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

38%

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: +22.0pp

38% → 60%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

60% YES (+22.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436073