Markets/Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys

Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:06 PM UTC

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES

0%NO

Volume 24h

$544K

Liquidity

$201K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+75.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

97%

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +72.0pp

25% → 97%

Mar 30, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 99%99%

Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $544K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762392

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.