ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5
Share on X

Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$66K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

89% / 92%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

84%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $66K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1837777

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 116.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

52% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 84%99%
Buy YES@ 84¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.0%
½ Kelly1.5%
Buy NO@ 17¢

-3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this