ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5
Share on X

Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES
16%NO

Volume 24h

$70K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

88% / 92%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

85%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $70K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1837180

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 116.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5: 100%, Hawks vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +6.0pp

47% → 53%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

53% YES (+6.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 85%99%
Buy YES@ 85¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.2%
½ Kelly1.6%
Buy NO@ 16¢

-3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this