ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5
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Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$73K

Liquidity

$30K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $73K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908977

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5: 23%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5: 23%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5: 14%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~39%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-17.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Trough probability

25% YES — lowest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Apr 8, 2026

Biggest move: -22.5pp

47% → 25%

Apr 8, 2026

Current

34% YES (+9.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this