ForecastMind
Markets/Hornets vs. Timberwolves
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Hornets vs. Timberwolves

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

60%YES
41%NO

Volume 24h

$707K

Liquidity

$390K

Bid / Ask

59% / 60%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

60%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hornets vs. Timberwolves" at 60% YES / 40% NO. In the last 24 hours, $707K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 60%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Hornets vs. Timberwolves." Prediction market snapshot: YES 60%, NO 40%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1791503

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 60%, Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5: 49%, Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5: 49%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Current

60% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 60%99%
Buy YES@ 60¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.2%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 41¢

-1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this