Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +38.4pp
1% → 39%
Mar 24, 2026
Peak probability
39% YES — highest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Current
25% YES (-13.9pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1689450
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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