ForecastMind
Markets/Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants
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Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$2.1M

Liquidity

$24K

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831591

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders : 100%, Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders : 10%.

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow

10%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+15.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

33% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +15.0pp

33% → 48%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

48% YES (+15.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢
Edge

+4.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 90¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+4.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this