Markets/Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$7K

Liquidity$0

ClosesMay 8, 2026

Why this mattersAI-synthesized

The Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals toss market at 100% suggests a near-certainty based on current collective sentiment across related toss markets, where other Delhi Capitals matches also reflect a 100% outcome probability. The significant divergence in the Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals toss market, priced at 0%, introduces a notable contradiction signal indicating potential overpricing across sibling markets within the same event cluster.

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+0.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2090809