Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.9M
Liquidity
$77K
Bid / Ask
80% / 81%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
62%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846224
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Ro: 99%, Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Ro: 62%.
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challe
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +18.0pp
53% → 71%
Apr 10, 2026
Peak probability
71% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
57% YES (-13.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this