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Markets/Iran coup attempt by June 30?
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Iran coup attempt by June 30?

9%YES
91%NO
Vol 24h$11K
Liquidity$48K
Bid / Ask8% / 9%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

9%

Market Price

9%
Aligned
Macro fundamentals+1.8pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-1.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Iran coup attempt by June 30?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Iran coup attempt by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1123479