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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
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Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
83%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

12% / 41%

Spread

29.00pp

Expert Signal

18%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 29.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499935

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5: 51%, Islanders vs. Sabres: 25%, Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5: 23%.

Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
51%
Islanders vs. Sabres
25%
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
23%

Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

18%
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
9%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-16.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

43%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -14.5pp

57% → 43%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

43% YES (-14.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 83¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this