ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5
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Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2

Bid / Ask

2% / 68%

Spread

66.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

27% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

35%

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: +24.0pp

28% → 52%

Mar 25, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Current

35% YES (-16.5pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 65¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 66.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712470