ForecastMind
Markets/Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5
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Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

38%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

37% / 39%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

40% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 38%99%
Buy YES@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712471